Friday, 12 December 2008

Variance vs Luck

Ok so we all hear about variance, and how better players will come out ahead "in the long run".

So just exactly how long does it take? Some say 1000 MTT's, or some say 2 million hands.

Unfortunately, imho, they are all wrong!!!!

Statistically, for variance to even itself out, it takes INFINITY or as long as two things keep happening. One, your heart beats and two, your bankroll doesn't go bust.

So next time someone says "I'd rather be the better player." just tell them to shove it.

Me?

I'd rather be lucky than good.

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